The [ppm] eyrie

May 10, 2009

How important is game importance?

Filed under: PPM.statistics — glanvalleyeaglets @ 6:54 pm

“I am hunting high and low…” or should I rather take the golden mean and go with normal? This is supposed to be a high-wire act, a matter of balance – to save the seasonal energy while not losing too many points due to low importance.The cost in terms of energy has been revealed. A league game with low (L) importance costs 0.08 points of seasonal energy, for normal (N) importance it is 0.4 and 2.0 for high (H). The cost in terms of performance is far less known. So let us let the statistics speak. German leagues I.1 thru III.16 again, games of TeamNonames excluded.

Day H-N H-L N-L
1 12-1-12 2-1-1 5-1-9
7 7-5-16 0-0-2 6-2-9
8 17-4-15 1-2-0 8-1-8
9 8-6-18 0-0-2 5-7-9
10 13-6-17 1-0-1 10-2-7
NC2 21-8-32 0-2-2 8-1-11
11 13-3-10 2-0-1 11-0-11
12 10-7-14 1-0-2 11-0-5
13 8-5-19 1-0-3 4-3-14
Total 109-45-153 8-5-14 68-17-83

Please take these stats with a grain of salt. I can think of many reasons why these data might be biased, such as:

– frequent usage of high importance leads to rapid energy decrease, which in turn leads to bad performance of High in this very study.
– good managers will seldomly use high importance in a league game.
– managers of teams performing above average in their league might go down to low importance for some games. If there is a bias towards stronger teams in the pool of teams playing Low importance, this will surely influence the stats in favour of Low importance.

This has a personal flavour, too 🙂 In the first 7 rounds my team played with Normal importance and did not lose a single game. When I switched to Low importance, we lost 2 league games out of 3! All low counterattacks vs normal breakup…

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2 Comments »

  1. Gribētos tomēr, lai spēles svarīgums atstāj lielāku ietekmi un spēles rezultātu, tad varētu vairāk variēt ar to un mēģināt atrast pareizāko risinājumu.
    Tagad sanāk visizdevīgākais ir spēlēt ar zemu svarīgumu.

    Comment by Janis — May 19, 2009 @ 4:58 pm

    • Jā un nē. Pēdējie pētÄ«jumi ir atklājuÅ¡i interesantu mehānismu, kas varētu veicināt zemāka svarÄ«guma panākumus, proti, vidēji spēlē tiek nopelnÄ«ts divreiz mazāk soda minÅ«Å¡u. Ja taviem spēlētājiem ir lieliska tehnika un lieliskas mazākuma maiņas, tad domāju, ka augstāks svarÄ«gums var dot lielu pārsvaru.

      Tomēr šobrīd vidēji visā spēlē zemais svarīgums joprojām konkrēti iespārda.

      Comment by glanvalleyeaglets — June 13, 2009 @ 7:53 pm


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